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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • John Collins has made 53.1% of his field goals on his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
  • John Collins has averaged 29.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
  • The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA at home this year.
  • The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a good one; they have allowed the 29th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (15.8).
  • The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • John Collins has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile).
  • The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
  • The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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