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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Brooklyn Nets

 
 
 
John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • John Collins has converted 53.1% of his field goal attempts while playing at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
  • John Collins has played 29.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
  • The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year.
  • This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Nets are away from home, their opposition have posted the 6th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (34.1%).
  • The Nets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to raise possessions for the Hawks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • John Collins has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (96th percentile).
  • The matchup against the Nets is a challenging one; they have given up the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 20 games (11.5).
  • The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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