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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 2/9/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Phoenix Suns

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has converted 62.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.8% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing at home.

John Collins has averaged 30.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Suns have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Cameron Johnson is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; when matched up against opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted an enormous 2.1 free throws per game (4th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has made just 25.9% of his 3-point attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 34.7 rate last season.

John Collins has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league while on their home court this year in terms of 3-pointers.

The matchup against Cameron Johnson is a tough one for attempts from downtown; when squaring off against fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted a lowly 5.0 three-point shots per game (100th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games.

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