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John Collins

John Collins Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

 
 
 
John Collins Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • John Collins has converted 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from downtown overall this year.
  • John Collins has been on the court for 29.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
  • The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
  • The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • John Collins has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (95th percentile).
  • The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point attempts.
  • The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (28.4%).
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hawks.
  • John Collins will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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