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John Collins

John Collins Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

John Collins Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has converted 2.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from downtown overall this year.

John Collins has been on the court for 29.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 78th percentile.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (95th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point attempts.

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (28.4%).

The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Hawks.

John Collins will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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