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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Joel Embiid rates in the 100th percentile, registering a colossal 34.6 points per game this year.

Joel Embiid has sunk 51.3% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 11.7% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year on his home court.

Joel Embiid has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. the Rockets is a hard one for three-point shots; opposing teams have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (33.5%).

The number of points averaged against Alperen Sengun has been very high (17.4 per game) when he is on the visiting team and guarding other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 76ers check in as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Rockets have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which should decrease plays for the 76ers.

On the road, the Houston Rockets have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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