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Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Joe Ingles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joe Ingles has converted 55.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 13.1% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this season.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have scored 107.9 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, designating this as a tough matchup for offensive production.

The Orlando Magic check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games, their opposition has attempted 19.7 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

Joe Ingles will likely get a boost in production in all stat categories on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joe Ingles has converted a lowly 35.9% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly lower than his 42.8 mark last year.

Joe Ingles has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this season.

The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.

The Orlando Magic have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games.

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Orlando Magic.

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