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Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks

Joe Ingles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Joe Ingles places in the 86th percentile for 3-point performance while at home with a a great 38.2% rate since the start of last season.

This matchup is a hard one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Mavericks are at home, opposing squads have averaged the 2nd-fewest 3-point attempts per game in the NBA against them since the start of last season (31.9).

The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

The Magic have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Joe Ingles has sunk 84.3% of his foul shot attempts without the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Orlando Magic rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home since the start of last season.

While playing away from home, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has attempted 24.4 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

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