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Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Joe Ingles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joe Ingles has made 53.2% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 10.1% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year when playing at home.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Joe Ingles has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 13.1% more than he's made in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joe Ingles has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.

This matchup is a strong one for three-pointers; their opposition have totaled the 3rd-most treys per game in the league this year (13.2).

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Bucks.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been lousy at getting to the free throw line recently: worst in the NBA over the last 10 games with just 16.8 foul shot attempts per game.

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