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Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles Points
Player Prop - 4/24/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Joe Ingles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+107/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joe Ingles has made 1.7 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a lowly 19.8 free throws per game when the Heat are playing at home this year (least in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joe Ingles has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.

This matchup is a strong one for threes; when the Heat are on their home court, opposing squads have tallied the 2nd-most treys per game in the league against them this year (13.6).

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Joe Ingles has attempted 0.4 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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