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Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Joe Ingles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joe Ingles has sunk 51.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 5.5% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Joe Ingles has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 13.1% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joe Ingles has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to technicals.

This matchup is a favorable one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have averaged the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (13.0).

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent games: worst in the league over the last 10 games on their home court, averaging just 18.8 foul shots per game.

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