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Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

Joe Ingles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joe Ingles has made 50.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 6 games at home, 9.9% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year playing at home.

Joe Ingles has made an impressive 91.7% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit higher than his 77.3 mark last season.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (which also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Joe Ingles will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally improves player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joe Ingles has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (93rd percentile).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 25.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (8th-least in the NBA).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for shots from the field; without the home court advantage, their opposition have put up the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (50.5%).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

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