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Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Joe Ingles Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joe Ingles has made an impressive 100.0% of his free throws this year, a sizeable increase from his 77.3 rate last year.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which can also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (which also produce added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a monstrous 18.5 foul shots per game while playing at home this year (most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Joe Ingles has converted a measly 29.1% of his shots from the field this year, a sizeable decrease from his 39.1 rate last year.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for three-pointers; while at home, opposing squads have posted the 4th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (37.6%).

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

Joe Ingles will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player production for all stats.

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