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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2025

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has sunk 43.9% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 8.9% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler slots into the 80th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 30.8 minutes per game this year.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.

Jimmy Butler has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.7% higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

As a team, the Miami Heat have been terrific at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 7th-best in the NBA this year, drawing 22.6 foul shots per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have posted 12.1 points per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, resulting in a tough matchup for offensive performance.

The 4th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

The matchup vs. Portland is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.9 free throws per game this year when the Trail Blazers are on the road (4th-least in the NBA).

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