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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 10/25/2023

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 22.2% clip, Jimmy Butler's three-point effectiveness has jumped this year to 31.6%.

Jimmy Butler has played 40.1 minutes per game over the last 15 games when playing on the road, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's played in all games this year on the road.

The Heat rank as the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have scored 17.6 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons, making this a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.

Relative to last year's 85.2% clip, Jimmy Butler's free-throw prowess has jumped this year to 87.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.

The Pistons have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 8thworst in in the league when playing on the road with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

At home, the Detroit Pistons have allowed the 8th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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