Jerami Grant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2023

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Jerami Grant

NBA · Player Props

Jerami Grant

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 17, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jerami Grant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerami Grant has sunk a whopping 2.5 threes per game this season, significantly more than his 1.9 mark last season.
Jerami Grant has made 90.9% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 9.5% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Jerami Grant has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 96th percentile.
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the league to the other team this year (which also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jerami Grant has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a difficult one for field goals; their opposition have shot for the 7th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (48.1%).
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year away from their home court.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league while on the road this year.
Jerami Grant will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens player production in all stat categories.

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