Jerami Grant Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jerami Grant

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 3:52 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerami Grant Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jerami Grant lands in the 84th percentile for 3-pointers made while at home, posting 2.2 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Jerami Grant registers in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 34.0 minutes per game this year.
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 9.5 offensive boards per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).
Jerami Grant should see a spike in production for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Jerami Grant has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
In terms of treys, the Trail Blazers's feeble 35.7% rate of made threes on their home court measures as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 3.6 3-point attempts per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The Trail Blazers have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the slowest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).