Jerami Grant Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Jerami Grant

NBA · Player Props

Jerami Grant

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Assists

Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Jerami Grant Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-177/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerami Grant has tallied 4.2 assists per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
Jerami Grant has played 35.0 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 95th percentile.
The Trail Blazers will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Spurs).
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have captured 9.9 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (losing possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).

Favors Under

Jerami Grant has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.

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