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Jeff Green

Jeff Green Points
Player Prop - 1/22/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jeff Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jeff Green has made 68.9% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 5.8% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season with the home court advantage.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year playing at home.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Thunder.

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for shots from the field; opposing clubs have compiled the 5th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (46.4%).

Jeff Green will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jeff Green has sunk 62.5% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking in the 15th percentile out of all players in the league.

The Thunder have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to the other team this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Thunder may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a lowly 25.9 foul shots per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from beyond the arc.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

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