Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 7, 2024

Updated May 7, 2024 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum registers in the 98th percentile, logging a whopping 26.5 points per game this year.
In contrast to last season's 5.9 clip, Jayson Tatum's failed threes have declined this season to 5.1 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.0 minutes per game at home this year.
The Boston Celtics have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jayson Tatum has attempted 9.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Cleveland is a hard one; when the Cavaliers are away from home, they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (13.5).
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Celtics.
The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Boston Celtics.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team with a mere 17.8 free throw attempts per game.

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