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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has scored 26.7 points per game while at home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.

Jayson Tatum has sunk 4.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.

Jayson Tatum has played 35.4 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise result in extra opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Timberwolves is a hard one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).

The 7th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Celtics will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been poor at getting to the charity stripe while at home: 7th-worst in the NBA this year, averaging a mere 21.5 free throws per game.

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