Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 12:40 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has registered 26.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 96th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum measures in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown away from home, totaling 8.8 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum measures in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.3 minutes per game this year.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 8 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Philadelphia may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.7 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the 76ers have the home court advantage (23rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

This year when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have totaled 2.0 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, branding this as a tough matchup.
The 4th-most lethargic tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The 76ers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team has nabbed 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers (lengthening possessions that can generate bonus opportunities for offense).
In comparison to last year's 8.1 rate, Jayson Tatum's number of free throws has decreased this year to 6.3 free throws per game.