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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 11/11/2023

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum places in the 100th percentile for shots from the field, logging 20.8 per game since the start of last season.

Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 36.5 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season.

The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home since the start of last season.

The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 26th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (5.5).

Jayson Tatum figures to see an increase in productivity across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Jayson Tatum rates in the 81st percentile for technical fouls, totaling a whopping 0.0 fouls per game while on the road this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team has secured 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors (saving possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).

Compared to last season's 6.9 clip, Jayson Tatum's foul shots converted have regressed this season to 4.6 per game.

The matchup against Toronto is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Toronto Raptors are away from home (9th-least in the NBA).

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