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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 5/25/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has converted 11.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

Without the home court advantage, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jayson Tatum has made a whopping 6.9 foul shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 5.4 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jayson Tatum has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The matchup against Miami is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Heat are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 14th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (25.9%).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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