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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 5/23/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has attempted 20.7 field goals per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 100th percentile.

The matchup against the Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (17.8).

The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jayson Tatum has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The Boston Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Celtics.

As a team, the Boston Celtics have been bad at drawing fouls while on the road: worst in the NBA this year with a mere 20.0 free throw attempts per game.

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.2 free throws per game this year (4th-least in the NBA).

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