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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 5/21/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jayson Tatum has averaged 34.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
  • Jayson Tatum has played 36.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
  • The matchup against the Heat is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (17.9).
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jayson Tatum has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to technicals (96th percentile).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup vs. the Heat is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 3.2 foul shots per game this year (6th-least in the NBA).

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