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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the league.

Jayson Tatum has played 36.3 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Miami is a positive one; when the Heat are away from home, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (17.2).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jayson Tatum has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game at home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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