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Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2023

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-112/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayson Tatum has averaged an impressive 30.1 points per game this year, significantly more than his 26.6 points per game last year.

Jayson Tatum has tallied 36.9 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Jayson Tatum has made an impressive 7.2 free throws per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 5.4 rate last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jayson Tatum has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (96th percentile).

The matchup against the Wizards is a hard one; they have given up the 10th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.3).

The Wizards have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Wizards have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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