Jayson Tatum Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2023

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 3, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has scored a terrific 31.1 points per game this season, significantly higher than his 26.6 points per game last season.
Jayson Tatum has attempted 9.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Jayson Tatum has averaged 36.8 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile.
This matchup is a strong one for shots from the field; opposing squads have compiled the 8th-highest FG% in the NBA over the last 5 games (45.9%).
The Suns have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to increase possessions for the Celtics.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Suns is a difficult one for threes; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 8th-least threes per game in the league this year (1.4).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
When playing on the road, the Suns have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Suns is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.2 free throws per game this year (7th-least in the league).

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