Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 10:10 PM UTC

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-162/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 5.9 rate, Jayson Tatum's off the mark 3-point shots have tailed off this season to 5.1 per game.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum ranks in the 98th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. Miami is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Miami Heat are at home, opposing starting PFs have compiled the highest three percentage in the league this year (46.4%).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.
Jayson Tatum is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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