Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has converted 5.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Jayson Tatum measures in the 99th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 36.7 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 1.8 threes per game (24th-most in the NBA) against the Bucks, designating this as a strong matchup.
The Boston Celtics will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Celtics.
Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have collected 12.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).
Jayson Tatum stands to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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