Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 3:28 AM UTC

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.7 treys per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jayson Tatum has tallied 35.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 97th percentile.
In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the most aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road this year has been the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Magic).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have tallied 3.8 three attempts per game (12th-lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic, marking this as a tough matchup.
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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