Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics · Mar 13, 2023

Updated Mar 13, 2023 9:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has attempted 8.5 treys per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jayson Tatum has averaged 41.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA on the road this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against the Rockets is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 29th-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (37.9%).
The Rockets have played at the quickest pace in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to raise plays for the Celtics.

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jayson Tatum will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.