Jayson Tatum Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Jayson Tatum

NBA · Player Props

Jayson Tatum

F-G · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jayson Tatum Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jayson Tatum has averaged 4.2 assists per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's hottest in this category over this stretch.
Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 97th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-quickest tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Magic).
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have brought down 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jayson Tatum has committed 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's committed overall this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

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