Jaylin Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jaylin Williams

F · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaylin Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylin Williams has successfully made 62.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 18.3% higher than he's sunk overall this season.
Jaylin Williams has sunk 66.7% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 32.2% more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games when playing away from home.
The Rockets have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost opportunities for the Thunder.

Favors Under

Jaylin Williams has averaged 13.2 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA: 24th percentile.
When playing at home, the Rockets have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Rockets may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; their opposition have attempted a mere 26.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games in terms of three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a challenging one for scoring; the other team's starting Cs have averaged the least buckets per game in the NBA this year (4.2).