Jaylen Wells Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Wells

F · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 9:04 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Wells Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-132/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Wells slots into the 79th percentile for shots taken, logging 9.3 per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Wells places in the 82nd percentile for threes sunk on the road, registering 1.7 per game since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.2).
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Grizzlies rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Wells registers in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.1 fouls per game since the start of last season.
In regard to offense, the Grizzlies's unimpressive 106.9 points per game places 2nd-fewest in the league since the start of last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 0.8 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.
Jaylen Wells figures to experience a decrease in production in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this game.