Jaylen Nowell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2023

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Jaylen Nowell

NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Nowell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 19, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Nowell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-101/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jaylen Nowell has made 56.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.4% higher than he's converted over the course of the season while playing at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 4th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year while at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year at home.
The Raptors have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year without the home court advantage (which also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaylen Nowell will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jaylen Nowell has successfully made a lowly 26.6% of his three-pointers this year, quite a bit less than his 40.4 rate last year.
Jaylen Nowell has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (84th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted just 25.8 foul shots per game this year away from home (6th-least in the NBA).
The matchup against the Raptors is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have compiled the 7th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (36.8%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year when playing at home (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).

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