Jaylen Nowell Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2023

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Jaylen Nowell

NBA · Player Props

Jaylen Nowell

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 19, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Nowell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year at home.
The Raptors have allowed the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year without the home court advantage (which also lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jaylen Nowell will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually raises stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jaylen Nowell has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA when it comes to getting T'ed up (84th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year when playing at home (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league this year on the road, which ought to reduce plays for the Raptors.

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