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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/15/2023

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic

Jaylen Brown Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown slots into the 86th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 32.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.

The Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Magic).

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense).

Jaylen Brown figures to see a spike in productivity in all stat categories as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged a measly 4.1 defensive rebounds per game this season, quite a bit less than his 5.4 defensive rebounds per game last season.

Compared to last year's 0.1 clip, Jaylen Brown's technical fouls have jumped this year to 0.2 per game.

The 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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