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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Rebounds
Player Prop - 5/25/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -138.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied 5.4 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 91st percentile.
  • Jaylen Brown has played 35.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.
  • Without the home court advantage, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jaylen Brown will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should reduce opportunities for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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