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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Rebounds
Player Prop - 5/21/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Jaylen Brown Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Brown has totaled 5.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 91st percentile.
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied 35.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile.
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jaylen Brown has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jaylen Brown will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers stat production across the board.

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