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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Rebounds
Player Prop - 5/17/2023

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat

Jaylen Brown Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +114 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has compiled 5.5 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 92nd percentile.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 35.5 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to raises player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Celtics.

The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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