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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 4/29/2025

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has converted 54.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 5.9% more than he's made over the course of the season while playing at home.

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 34.4 minutes per game this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have scored 20.2 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, making this a good matchup for offensive productivity.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 3rd-best in in the league when playing at home with 14.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's made in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the league this year.

The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Magic).

As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: worst in the NBA this year, drawing just 19.4 free throws per game.

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