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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2025

Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has played 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.

The matchup against Houston is a strong one for threes; when the Rockets are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should lead to more possessions for the Celtics.

The Celtics check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year while on his home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has failed to convert 10.3 field goal attempts per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.9 rate last season.

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.4 fouls per game this year.

The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.

In terms of getting to the charity stripe, the Boston Celtics's subpar 19.3 free throw attempts per game as the home team places 3rd-worst in the league this year.

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Rockets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

More Jaylen Brown Player Props

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