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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-143/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -143.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has successfully made 61.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 27.6% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown places in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 35.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Jaylen Brown has successfully made an impressive 4.1 free throws per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 3.1 rate last year.

Over the last 17 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Mavericks, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Celtics have been the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Dallas Mavericks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the least treys per game in the NBA this year (0.8).

The slowest pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.

Jaylen Brown will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower stat production in all stat categories.

More Jaylen Brown Player Props

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