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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/18/2025

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown places in the 86th percentile for three-point attempts with the home court advantage, averaging 6.2 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has tallied 35.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The matchup vs. the Hawks is a strong one for scoring; the opposing team's starting SFs have shot for the highest FG% in the league this year (55.3%).

The Celtics will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 5th-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last year's 8.9 clip, Jaylen Brown's failed field goals have spiked this year to 10.2 per game.

The slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Celtics.

As a team, the Celtics have been bad at getting to the charity stripe on their home court: 3rd-worst in the league this year, totaling a mere 19.1 free throw attempts per game.

Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 2.0 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

More Jaylen Brown Player Props

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