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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/17/2025

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 35.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The matchup vs. Orlando is a positive one; when the Magic are the visiting team, they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (18.9).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Compared to last season's 3.1 clip, Jaylen Brown's foul shots hit have jumped this season to 4.1 per game.

The matchup vs. Orlando is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.7 foul shots per game this year when the Orlando Magic are on the road (3rd-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has failed to make 10.3 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit more than his 8.9 rate last season.

Jaylen Brown has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (83rd percentile).

The slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Orlando Magic have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Boston Celtics.

As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe while playing at home: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a mere 19.0 free throw attempts per game.

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