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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2025

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown slots into the 98th percentile for shots from the field, tallying 19.0 per game this year.

Out of all players in the league, Jaylen Brown measures in the 90th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, putting up 6.6 per game this year.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 96th percentile.

The Celtics will likely see a spike in opportunities today from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Toronto Raptors).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Celtics have been the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Toronto is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when the Raptors have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.1).

The most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.

Jaylen Brown will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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