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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2025

Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Jaylen Brown lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.1 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The matchup against the Kings is a good one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (2.3).

The Kings have played at the 7th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Boston Celtics.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 7th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Jaylen Brown has converted 90.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last season's 8.9 clip, Jaylen Brown's unsuccessful shots have jumped this season to 10.4 per game.

Jaylen Brown has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (81st percentile).

The slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Boston Celtics's unimpressive 18.6 foul shot attempts per game when playing at home measures as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

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