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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2024

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.1 three-point shots per game this year, significantly more than his 5.8 rate last year.

Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 96th percentile.

The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Indiana Pacers).

The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Relative to last season's 4.5 mark, Jaylen Brown's number of foul shot attempts has increased this season to 5.9 foul shot attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 8.9 rate, Jaylen Brown's failed field goals have spiked this season to 10.8 per game.

When it comes to offense, the Celtics's subpar 44.3% field goal rate while playing at home comes in as the 7th-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. the Pacers is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.9).

The Celtics have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while at home this year.

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