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Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown Points
Player Prop - 12/19/2024

Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls

Jaylen Brown Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+108/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jaylen Brown has averaged 35.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).

Compared to last season's 3.1 rate, Jaylen Brown's free throws hit have risen this season to 4.7 per game.

This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jaylen Brown has shot and missed 10.6 field goals per game this year, a significant increase from his 8.9 rate last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The matchup against the Chicago Bulls is a hard one for three-point shots; the other team's starting SFs have compiled the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (23.9%).

The 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Boston Celtics rank 10thworst in in the NBA when playing at home with just 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

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